en

    rethink sustainability

    Taiwan thinks big on renewable energy despite naysayers

    Taiwan thinks big on renewable energy despite naysayers

    Taiwan has ambitious plans to increase the percentage of renewable energy in its energy mix and reach net-zero emissions by 20501, but is facing familiar hurdles when it comes to hitting its targets.

    The government has had to delay some of its renewable energy targets due to COVID-19 disruptions, and some industry watchers have cast doubt on whether the government can deliver on its promises2.

    Although Taiwan is one of the global leaders in the manufacturing  of photovoltaic panels used for solar, some claim the island does not have the physical space to install the necessary solar and wind farms to meet its targets, while others claim government bureaucracy will weigh on progress.

     

    Taiwan has ambitious targets

    Either way, the clock is ticking. Between now and 2050 the world needs to move from 20% economy-wide electrification to 70%, as entire sectors transition from fossil fuels to renewably generated electricity3.

    Taiwan's National Development Council (NDC) plans to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 20504, and has ambitious goals for renewable energy and hydrogen use.

    Taiwan's National Development Council (NDC) plans to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, and has ambitious goals for renewable energy and hydrogen use

    In fact, in December the government revised  its target for its nationally determined contribution to carbon emissions reduction, from a previous target of 20% by 2030, to '24% plus or minus 1%' 5.

    Furthermore, the island plans to increase offshore wind capacity by 54x and solar capacity by 4x from current levels , to 3.1 GW (gigawatts) and 7.7 GW by 2030, respectively6. By 2050, the NDC aims for installed capacity of 40 GW–55 GW in offshore wind power and 40 GW–80 GW in solar power7. To put the 2050 solar target into context, this would require the construction of 15–30 solar farms the size of China's Golmud solar Park, the world's largest photovoltaic installation8.

    Read more about China's electrification initiatives

    This momentum is being driven by events globally, with the transformation of electricity grids accelerating. Already, renewables have pushed conventional fossil power stations to the back of the merit order which determines which forms of energy production are “switched on" first – when power is needed, renewable energy is increasingly at the front of the queue9.

    At the same time, demand for electricity is growing, driven by recent technological improvements in end-user applications, with many electric solutions now significantly more efficient than their fossil-fuel predecessors.

    Taiwan's plans are particularly ambitious because the government, unlike others in Asia, has abandoned nuclear power, and has pledged to decommission the last nuclear reactor by 2025

    Taiwan's plans are particularly ambitious because the government, unlike others in Asia, has abandoned nuclear power, and has pledged to decommission the last nuclear reactor by 202510.

    With the government under pressure to bring renewable capacity on stream as quickly as possible11, this should create myriad opportunities for companies and investors.

    Find out how Singapore launches initiatives to tackle heat mitigation initiatives

     

    Electrification will create huge opportunities

    According to the NDC's plans, nearly TWD 900 billion (USD 29.3 billion) will be invested in net-zero projects by 2030, with more than half being invested in electrification-related sectors renewables, power grid infrastructure and energy storage, as well as the electrification of vehicles12.

    Taiwan is part of a global trend, as electrification creates huge investment capex

    Taiwan is part of a global trend, as electrification creates huge investment capex. Between now and 2030, with the business case for generating and consuming low-cost, zero-carbon electricity becoming ever clearer, companies around the world are gearing up to deploy USD 24.5 trillion to participate in the electric economy13.

    Read on about Asia-Pacific's energy storage race

     

    Vast potential for Taiwan


    With Taiwan already the world's second-largest manufacturer of photovoltaic (PV) panels used for solar power generation14, the island has a sound foundation on which to build. And the potential is vast according to GlobalData, solar PV accounted for 13% of Taiwan's total installed power generation capacity in 2021, and this will increase to 37% by 203515.

    Developing similar expertise in wind and hydrogen fuel technologies will not be straight-forward. But with the government's bold no-nuclear policy increasing the pressure and urgency across the energy industry, the die has been cast. By attracting investment, nurturing talent, and building on the knowhow that already exists, the island may succeed in turning its targets into a world-leading sustainable energy industry.

     

    Taiwan's Pathway to Net-Zero Emissions in 2050. Available here.
    Taiwan's energy ambitions for 2025 not obtainable. Available here.
    3 Electrifying the economy. Available here.
    4 Taiwan's Pathway to Net-Zero Emissions in 2050. Available here.
    5 Taiwan Details Road Map to Carbon Neutrality. Available here.
    6 12 Key Strategies for Taiwan's 2050 Net-Zero Transition (Draft). Available here.
    7 Taiwan Details Road Map to Carbon Neutrality. Available here.
    8 Top 10: Largest Solar Power Parks. Available here.
    9 Electrifying the economy. Available here.
    10 Nuclear Power in Taiwan. Available here.
    11 Taiwan's energy ambitions for 2025 not obtainable. Available here.
    12 Taiwan's Pathway to Net-Zero Emissions in 2050. Available here.
    13 Electrifying the economy. Available here.
    14 Renewable energy industry in Taiwan - statistics & facts. Available here.
    15 Solar PV capacity in Taiwan and major projects. Available here.

    Important information

    This document is issued by Lombard Odier (Singapore) Ltd.

    It is not intended for distribution, publication, or use in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, or use would be unlawful, nor is it aimed at any person or entity to whom it would be unlawful to address such a document. This document is provided for information purposes only. The contents of this document have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in any jurisdiction. It does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to subscribe, purchase, sell or hold any security or financial instrument. It contains the opinions of Lombard Odier, as at the date of issue.

    These opinions and the information contained herein does not take into account an individual’s specific circumstances, objectives, or needs. No representation is made that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to individual circumstances or that any investment or strategy constitutes personalised investment advice to any investor. Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in the future. Lombard Odier does not provide tax advice. Therefore, you must verify the above and all other information provided in the document or otherwise review it with your external tax advisors. Some investment products and services, including custody, may be subject to legal restrictions or may not be available worldwide on an unrestricted basis. The information and analysis contained herein are based on sources considered reliable. Lombard Odier uses its best efforts to ensure the timeliness, accuracy and completeness of the information contained in this document. Nevertheless, all information and opinions as well as the prices, market valuations and calculations indicated herein may change without notice.

    Investments are subject to a variety of risks. Before entering into any transaction, an investor should consult his/her investment advisor and, where necessary, obtain independent professional advice in respect of risks, as well as any legal, regulatory, credit, tax, and accounting consequences. The investments mentioned in this document may carry risks that are difficult to quantify and integrate into an investment assessment. In general, products such as equities, bonds, securities lending, forex, or money market instruments bear risks, which are higher in the case of derivative, structured, and private equity products; these are aimed solely at investors who are able to understand their nature and characteristics and to bear their associated risks. On request, Lombard Odier will be pleased to provide investors with more detailed information concerning risks associated with given instruments.

    Past performance is no guarantee of current or future returns, and the investor may receive back less than he/she invested. The value of any investment in a currency other than the base currency of a portfolio is subject to the foreign exchange rates. Exchange rates may fluctuate and adversely affect the value of the investment when it is realised and converted back into the investor’s base currency. The liquidity of an investment is subject to supply and demand. Some products may not have a well-established secondary market or in extreme market conditions may be difficult to value, resulting in price volatility and making it difficult to obtain a price to dispose of the asset. If opinions from financial analysts belonging to Bank Lombard Odier & Co Ltd’s Research Department are contained herein, such analysts attest that all of the opinions expressed accurately reflect their personal views about any given instruments. In order to ensure their independence, financial analysts are expressly prohibited from owning any securities that belong to the research universe they cover. Lombard Odier may hold positions in securities as referred to in this document for and on behalf of its clients and/or such securities may be included in the portfolios of investment funds as managed by Lombard Odier or affiliated Group companies. Lombard Odier recognises that conflicts of interest may exist as a consequence of the distribution of financial instruments or products issued and/or managed by entities belonging to the Lombard Odier Group. Lombard Odier has a Conflict of Interests policy to identify and manage such conflicts of interest

    © 2023 Lombard Odier (Singapore) Ltd. – all rights reserved. Ref. LOCH-FI-en-032022.
     

     

    let’s talk.
    share.